Oil & War

 Oil Future and War Now: A Grim Earth Sciences’ Point of View.

  Fig 1. Complete cycle of world crude oil production
 

  Worldwide per-capita oil consumption is closely correlated with the standard of living.  In developing nations like China and India increasing prosperity therefore requires increased per-capita oil consumption.  However, oil is a finite resource whose production globally is about to begin to decline irreversibly.  Consequently the growing demand for oil is leading to a growing global conflict in which the Gulf War, the 9/11 attack, and the war in Iraq are just the first three skirmishes.  These skirmishes pale in comparison with the looming potential conflict over oil with China.

 

Prediction on Energy.

 

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Revised: November 16, 2007